ABSTRACT: Ovigerous blue crabs Callinectes sapidus use ebb-tide transport (ETT), a vertical migratory behavior in which crabs ascend into the water column during ebb tides, to migrate from estuarine adult habitats to coastal larval releaselocations. We have developed a detailed behavioral model of ovigerous blue crab ETT from previous laboratory and field studies and coupled this model to a hydrodynamic model of the Beaufort Inlet region of North Carolina. We have simulated thetrajectories of migratory ovigerous crabs in the region and determined spatial patterns in migratory success, migratory speeds, the residence times of crabs in different regions of the estuary, and potential larval-release locations. Highly active crabscan start their migration from almost anywhere in the estuary and reach suitable larval-release locations within a typical 4 d migratory period, whereas crabs with lower activity levels can only reach suitable larval-release locations if they start theirmigration in the lower-to-mid estuary. Migratory speeds in the estuary range from 1 to >8 km d^–1. Crabs with lower activity levels are resident in the mid-to-upper estuary for relatively long periods of time, whereas highly activecrabs are resident in the lower estuary and coastal ocean for most of the migratory period. Larval release is predicted to occur throughout the estuary and in the coastal ocean within ~5 km of Beaufort Inlet. Fisheries managers can use these spatialpatterns to determine management strategies (e.g. spatial closures to fishing) that will protect migratory blue crab spawning stock in tidal regions effectively.