MEPS

Marine Ecology Progress Series

MEPS is a leading hybrid research journal on all aspects of marine, coastal and estuarine ecology. Priority is given to outstanding research that advances our ecological understanding.

Online: ISSN 1616-1599

Print: ISSN 0171-8630

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps

Impact Factor2.1 (JCR 2025 release)

Article Acceptance Rate52.2% (2024)

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Volume contents
Mar Ecol Prog Ser 361:1-13 (2008)

Environmental factors that influence the distribution of coral reef fishes: modeling occurrence data for broad-scale conservation and management

ABSTRACT: To manage coral reef species, it is important to identify the factors that determine their distribution inexpensively. We identified the remotely measured environmental factors that are most influential in determining the distributions of coral reef fish species on a regional scale. Logistic regression models for 227 fish species related presence/absence data to 4 remotely determined environmental predictor variables: depth, presence of a land–sea interface, exposure, and the distance to the nearest estuary. We compared modeled Akaike information criterion (AIC) values with AIC values of randomly distributed species with different numbers of occurrences and levels of habitat specificity to evaluate model significance. Efficient species distribution models were identified for 118 predominantly habitat-specific fishes of the 227 species for which we had data. All 4 predictor variables significantly influenced the distributions of at least some fish species. Depth was the most frequently efficient variable for single variable models. For combinations of 2 predictor variables, depth and exposure, as well as depth and distance from the nearest estuary, were the prevalent predictors of fish distributions. Several fish species responded to the combination of variables distance from an estuary and presence of the terrestrial–marine interface, indicating that these species depend on intact coastal reef habitat, which is in decline near the main sediment-laden rivers. Statistically significant models were predominantly developed for habitat-specific species. These habitat-specific species are of greater conservation concern than widespread species because threats affect them more severely if the threats are selectively affecting their habitat. For this reason, species distribution modeling using remotely determined environmental data may be an efficient method to build models for habitat-specific species and inform marine reserve design.

KEYWORDS

Distribution of schooling bigeye jacks Caranx sexfasciatus on exposed reefs can be predicted by modeling.

Photo: M. Beger

The authors have identified 4 remotely measured environmental factors — water depth, land–sea interface, exposure, and distance to the nearest estuary — which on a regional scale predict the distributions of coral reef fishes. Statistically significant logistic regression models, in which all 4 variables are important for at least some species, were identified for 118 species. Beger & Possingham conclude that species distribution modeling with remotely determined predictors is a cheap method of informing coral reef management because occurrence point data can be converted quantitatively into full spatial coverage data.

Maria Beger (Co-author)

Hugh P. Possingham (Co-author)