MEPS

Marine Ecology Progress Series

MEPS is a leading hybrid research journal on all aspects of marine, coastal and estuarine ecology. Priority is given to outstanding research that advances our ecological understanding.

Online: ISSN 1616-1599

Print: ISSN 0171-8630

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps

Impact Factor2.1 (JCR 2025 release)

Article Acceptance Rate52.2% (2024)

Average Time in Review216 days (2024)

Total Annual Downloads2.771.608 (2025)

Volume contents
Mar Ecol Prog Ser 570:15-28 (2017)

Whelk predators exhibit limited population responses and community effects following disease-driven declines of the keystone predator Pisaster ochraceus

ABSTRACT: The recent outbreak of sea star wasting disease (SSWD) along the US West Coast, which has decimated the intertidal keystone predator Pisaster ochraceus, is predicted to change community structure by reducing predatory control of the competitively dominant mussel Mytilus californianus. However, keystone species effects can be variable, and the role of other predators without the keystone predator is not well understood. We were interested in the effects of subordinate whelk predators (Nucella ostrina, N. canaliculata) on prey following SSWD, and whelk population responses to declines of their predator and competitor P. ochraceus. We hypothesized that whelks would limit M. californianus establishment by reducing prey species facilitating its recruitment. We also predicted that whelk populations would increase and shift downshore with reduced predation threat. We addressed our questions using a whelk removal experiment started before the SSWD outbreak peak, and surveys of whelk distribution, abundance, and size structure. In the absence of P. ochraceus, whelks weakly facilitated, rather than limited, the establishment of the competitively dominant mussel but had few effects on other prey abundance. One year after SSWD onset, surveys indicated no change in whelk vertical distributions but revealed diverging patterns in abundance of whelk species. Whelk size structure shifted to smaller individuals, indicating a potentially lagged population response. Our results suggest that subordinate predators may not have strong short-term impacts on prey communities after keystone species decline. However, poor prey recruitment may have limited any whelk effects and population changes. Our study provides important context for understanding community dynamics following one of the largest marine disease outbreaks recorded.

KEYWORDS

Elizabeth B. Cerny-Chipman (Corresponding Author)
cernyche@oregonstate.edu

Jenna M. Sullivan (Co-author)

Bruce A. Menge (Co-author)