DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps14891
copiedRecruitment failure in Western Baltic herring Clupea harengus as consequence of a drastic decline in zooplankton prey
- Līna Livdāne
- Gesche Winkler
- Saskia Otto
- Paul Kotterba
- Annegret Finke
- Dorothee Moll
- Vivian Fischbach
- Christopher Zimmermann
- Patrick Polte
ABSTRACT: Climate-induced shifts in zooplankton communities influence the survival and recruitment of commercially important fishes worldwide by altering the prey field up to severe food limitation. Due to recruitment failure of the Western Baltic herring stock over the last decade, we investigated the role of zooplankton and potential environmental drivers of early life stage survival in a major nearshore nursery area in the Western Baltic Sea. The seasonal synchrony between predator and prey structures annual secondary production. However, studying the cause-and-effect relations is challenging, as many monitoring programs are static in time and limited to a short period every year. We analysed weekly data from 2008 to 2020, including zooplankton density and community composition together with herring larvae survival. Larval herring productivity has been the lowest in recent years, particularly since 2014 with a record low in 2020. The annual mean total zooplankton density decreased drastically, the largest drop occurring between 2012 and 2013, declining by approximately 84%. This decrease was predominantly seen in small organisms, namely copepod nauplii, bivalve veligers, and rotifers. The total density of these mayor prey organisms for early herring life stages was positively correlated with the larval herring survival index. In turn, the decrease in the zooplankton taxa density was most likely induced by changes in the phytoplankton phenology expressed by earlier seasonal chlorophyll-a peaks. Using these high-resolution time series, we provide a potential mechanism of cascading climate change effects on the survival of young herring in the Western Baltic Sea.
KEYWORDS
Līna Livdāne (Co-author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Gesche Winkler (Co-author)
- Institut des Sciences de la Mer, Québec-Océan, Université du Québec à Rimouski, G5L8Y7, Québec, Canada
Saskia Otto (Co-author)
- Institute for Marine Ecosystems and Fishery Science, University of Hamburg, Olbersweg 24, D-22767 Hamburg, Germany
Paul Kotterba (Co-author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Annegret Finke (Co-author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Dorothee Moll (Co-author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Vivian Fischbach (Co-author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Christopher Zimmermann (Co-author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Patrick Polte (Corresponding Author)
- Thünen Institute of Baltic Sea Fisheries, Alter Hafen Süd 2, D-18069 Rostock, Germany
Handling Editor:
Rebecca G. Asch, Greenville, North Carolina, USA
Reviewers:
K. Wieland and 2 anonymous referees