CR 36:141-151 (2008)  -  DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00728

Developing regional climate change scenarios for use in assessment of effects on human health and disease

F. Giorgi1,*, N. Diffenbaugh2

1International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), PO Box 586, 34100 Trieste, Italy
2Purdue Climate Change Research Center and Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Purdue University,
550 Stadium Mall Drive, West Lafayette, Indiana 47907-2051, USA

ABSTRACT: Climatic changes induced by anthropogenic increases in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases could have substantial effects on human health and the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. In order to assess such impacts, climate change information is needed at the regional scale. In the present paper we provide a discussion of the tools and methodologies available today to produce regional climate change information along with a review of the more robust regional climate change patterns indicated by the latest-generation model simulations. We also present an analysis of the uncertainties underlying the simulation of climate change. The discussion is presented within the context of the use of climate change scenarios at the global to regional scale for studies of human health and disease impacts.


KEY WORDS: Climate change · Human health impacts · Disease impacts · Temperature change · Precipitation change · Climate scenarios


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Cite this article as: Giorgi F, Diffenbaugh N (2008) Developing regional climate change scenarios for use in assessment of effects on human health and disease. Clim Res 36:141-151. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00728

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