CR 44:117-119 (2010) - doi:10.3354/cr00976
Erik Kjellström1,*, Filippo Giorgi2
ABSTRACT: An ensemble of regional climate models downscaling reanalysis data has been evaluated against observations for the time period 1961–2000. Various aspects of model performance including both their representation of large-scale features and their ability to add value on smaller spatial scales have been considered. A set of metrics has been derived and combined into a performance-based weigthing system that is used in the production of probabilistic climate change projections. Strengths and weaknesses of weighting techniques for RCM ensembles are discussed.
KEY WORDS: ENSEMBLES · RCM ensemble · Europe · Weighting scheme
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